Hero
Predictive Analytics & ML
Predictive Modeling & Forecasting
Fashion Retail

Demand Forecasting Engine for a Fast-Fashion Retailer's Micro-Batch Buying


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Problem

Sell-outs and markdown mountains

A 30-store fast-fashion retailer with a growing online arm was buying on instinct: hit styles sold out within days while slow movers piled into markdowns that consumed 22% of revenue. Buyers worked from month-old sales exports, had no view of size-level demand, and reordered winning styles too late to catch the trend.

Solution

Style-level demand forecasting

We built a demand forecasting engine that combines sales history, product attributes, web behaviour, and seasonality to predict style-and-size-level demand for the weeks ahead. Buyers see ranked reorder recommendations and suggested initial buy quantities in a planning dashboard, enabling smaller first orders with faster, data-backed replenishment of proven sellers.

Measurable Impact

What changed after launch

Style-level forecast accuracy improved from 61% to 82% within two buying seasons

Markdown share of revenue reduced from 22% to 14% over the same period

Stockout rate on top-50 styles dropped by 35% while overall inventory fell 18%

Full-price sell-through improved from 48% to 63% across the store network

Tech & Tools Used

What powered the build

Python (Pandas)
XGBoost
scikit-learn
Apache Airflow
dbt
PostgreSQL
FastAPI
React
AWS S3

Ready to Build your Fashion Retail Business with Predictive Modeling & Forecasting

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